TS Module 7: stationary mixed processes HW


TS Module 7: stationary mixed processes HW

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NEAS
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TS Module 7: stationary mixed processes HW

 

(The attached PDF file has better formatting.)

 

Homework assignment: mixed autoregressive moving average process

 

An ARMA(1,1) process has ó2 = 1, è1 = 0.4, and ö1 = 0.6.

 


A.     What is the value of ã0?

B.     What is the value of ã1?

C.    What is the value of ñ1?

D.    What is the value of ñ2?


 

 

 


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AJB1011
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My understanding of filter representations is that it's used to estimate the variance of forecast.  We can convert the φ parameters into an infinite series of θ parameters.  This is helpful because the θ parameter only changes one period in the future.  I'm anticipating that the final might ask, "What is the variance of the one period ahead forecast?  Two?  Three?" 

There's a few practice problems in the Module 7 Stationary mixed processes that might be helpful in understanding the concepts.

[NEAS: Correct; the filter representation converts an autoregressive processes into a moving average model of infinite rank. This simplifies the formulas for the variance of forecasts because all the error terms are independent, whereas the observations are serially correlated.]


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