TS Module 5: Stationary processes HW


TS Module 5: Stationary processes HW

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NEAS
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TS Module 5: Stationary processes HW

 

(The attached PDF file has better formatting.)

 

Homework assignment: general linear process

 

A time series has the form Yt = åt + ö × åt-1ö2 × åt-2 + ö3 × åt-3 – …

 

The plus and minus signs alternate.  ö = 0.2 and ó2e = 9.

 


A.     What is ã0, the variance of Yt? Show the derivation.

B.     What is ã1, the covariance of Yt and Yt-1? Show the derivation.

C.    What is ñ2, the correlation of Yt and Yt-2? Show the derivation.

 

(Show the algebra for the derivations. One or two lines is sufficient for each part.)

 

 


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dom2114
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For anyone that actually looks @ these forums for the fall course:

I was having the same problem as the quoted text...my issue was that I was not summing the geometric progression correctly...This is the case for both parts B & C.

The trick is that the first term cannot be part of the geometric sum as the sign is different. E.g. in Part B you get to:

phi*Var(et-1)) - phi^3*Var(et-2) - phi^5*Var(et-3)...

The proper sum is:

Var(et)*[phi - (phi^3 / (1-phi^2) ) ]

i.e. the first time is not part of the geometric sum.

Hope this helps someone.
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