TS Module 9: Non-stationary ARIMA time series HW


TS Module 9: Non-stationary ARIMA time series HW

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NEAS
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TS Module 9: Non-stationary ARIMA time series HW

(The attached PDF file has better formatting.)

Homework assignment: Non-stationary autoregressive process

A time series Yt = â × Yt-1 + åt has = 3, where k is a constant. (The textbook has â = 3.)


A. What is the variance of Yt as a function of â and t?

B. What is ñ(yt,yt-k) as a function of â, k, and t?


See equations 5.1.4 and 5.1.5 on page 89.

{Note: This homework assignment has been replaced because of an unclear equation in the textbook; see the new homework assignment. If you have submitted this assignment already, you will be given credit.}


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moo5003
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I'm confused by the correlation equation.

I derived:

Beta * [ (1-Beta^(2t-2)) / (1-Beta^(2t)) ]^(1/2)

My equation almost matches the book except for the 1/2 power.  It seems like they divided by Var(Y_t) instead of:

Root[ Var(Y_t)*Var(Y_t-1) ]

Can anyone confirm my answer?


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