TS Module 4: Variance of mean homework assignment
(The attached PDF file has better formatting.)
Homework assignment: Variance of mean
An MA(2) process Y
t = e
t – è
1 e
t-1 – è
2 e
t-2 has N observations, with ó
2e = 1, –1 è
1 +1, –1 è
2 +1.
What values of è1 and è2 maximize the variance of , the average of the Y values?What values of è1 and è2 minimizes the variance of , the average of the Y values?Your answer should give a line of values for each part, such as è
1 + è
2 = k.
Jacob: How should we reason through this homework assignment?
Rachel: Write the value of in terms of the å’s: y
j = å
n + (1 – è
1) å
n-1 + (1 – è
1 – è
2) å
n-2 + …
Most of the terms have (1 – è
1 – è
2) å
n-2 ; only the two terms at the beginning and the two terms at the end have fewer è’s. Ignore these beginning and end terms (assuming n is large).
All the å’s are independent. We choose è
1 and è
2 to maximize or minimize (1 – è
1 – è
2) å
n-2, which is easy.
For the homework assignment, ignoring the end terms is fine. If N is small, the answer differs slightly, and the calculations are messy.